Preliminary Program

Workshop on Atlantic Climate Variability – Dynamics, Prediction and Hurricane Risk

September 8, 2017

9:00AM – 9:15 AM Adam Sobel – Welcome

9:15 AM – 9:30AM Peter Zimmerli – Introduction and goals of the workshop

9:30AM – 10:00AM Rong Zhang – The Atlantic Multidecadal Variability: Mechanism, Predictability, and the Associated Impact on Hurricane Activity

10:00AM – 10:30AM Amy Clement – The Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation without a Role for Ocean Circulation

10:30AM – 11:00 AM Christina Patricola, Oceanic and Atmospheric Sources of Tropical Cyclone Predictability

11:00AM – 11:15AM Coffee Break

11:15AM – 11:45AM Ben Kirtman – The Role of Ocean Eddies in Global Climate Predictability from Days to Decades

11:45AM – 12:15PM Martha Buckley- Predictability of North Atlantic Ocean Heat Content

12:15PM – 1:00PM Panel discussion


1:00PM – 2:00PM Lunch


2:00PM – 2:30PM Mingfang Ting – Distinguishing Forced and Internal Multi-Decadal Variability in the North Atlantic and their Climate Impacts

2:30PM – 3:00PM Tim DelSole – The Role of Ocean Dynamics in Multi-Year Predictability

3:00PM – 3:30PM Kerry Emanuel – On the Causes of the Late 20th Century North Atlantic Hurricane Drought

3:30PM – 3:45PM Coffee Break

3:45PM – 4:30PM Gabe Vecchi, TBA

4:30PM – 5:00 PM James Kossin – Patterns of Atlantic Decadal Variability and Hurricane Intensity Change Along the U.S. Coast

5:00PM – 5:30PM Panel Discussion