Oral Presentations

Matt Butler – A fire manager’s perspective on fire season potential based on climate, weather, and fire behavior predictions

Ed Delgado – Challenges Facing Wildland Fire Forecasters

Haiganoush Preisler – Statistical Predictions of Fire Occurrence and Spread

George Milne – High Performance Wildfire Prediction Technology use in Western Australia

Karin Riley – Fire prediction and uncertainty across temporal and spatial scales

Mark Finney – Physical Process in Wildland Fire Spread at Fine Scales

Rodman Linn – Using Coupled Wildfire:Atmosphere Models to Further to Expand our Understanding of Wildfire Behavior

Ali Tohidi – Firebrand formation and transport, a critical mechanism of wildfire propagation

Nicholas Nauslar – Improving Lightning and Dry Lightning Guidance with Calibrated Probabilities from Regional and Convection Allowing Ensemble Model Output

Michael Gollner – Data-Driven Fire Modeling

James Randerson – Advances in global fire prediction on daily to decadal timescales

Jiajue Chai – Tracking nitrogen oxides, nitrous acid, and nitric acid from biomass burning

Francesca DiGiuseppe – From Weather to Fire- from Fire to Weather

Andrew Robertson – Current developments in sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasting Break

David Caballero – Fire risk assessment across spatial scales in the WUI. Some examples of practical application in Europe

Ross Bradstock – A probabilistic model to predict property loss from fires at fine temporal and spatial scales

Adam Kochanski – An analysis of socio-economic impact of fire modeling and fire detection data

David Bowman – The role of pyrogeographic synthesis in the attribution of climate change to ‘unprecedented’ fire regimes- the case of the 2016 Tasmanian wilderness fires

Katherine Glover – Vegetation and Fire in the San Bernardino Mountains, Southern California since 120,000 years BP- Insights and Challenges for 21st century predictions

Jed Kaplan – Fire and land cover change during the Maori colonization of New Zealand- Hypothesis testing with model simulations and charcoal data

Rachel Loehman – Modeling Ecological Resilience and Human-Environment Interactions in Engineered Landscapes of the Prehistoric American Southwest

Jennifer Marlon – Understanding fire activity outside the range of modern environmental conditions

Leroy Westerling – Simulation of extreme wildfire events across spatial scales for California’s Fourth Climate Assessment and the USDA Forest Service’s Sierra Nevada Forest Management Plan revisions

Trent Penman – Non-linear changes to future fire in forests and grasslands

Steve Taylor – Predicting Severe Wildfire Occurrence in Canada

Nathan Mietkiewicz – Drivers of historic and future wildfire occurrence across the United States- the relative contribution of human ignitions vs. climate to fire size and probability

Winslow Hansen – A perfect storm- multiple stressors interact to drive postfire regeneration failure of lodgepole pine and Douglas-fir forests in Yellowstone

Jacquelyn Shuman – FATES-SPITFIRE- Fire within a size-structured vegetation model

Cristina Montiel-Molina – Fire scenarios in the Central Mountains Range (Spain)- a multi-scale concept for integrated fire management in the context of global change

Ryan Bart – Development of a coupled model for investigating the effects of forest management and climate on wildfire regimes in the western U.S.

Erin Hanan – Effects of fire suppression and climate change on wildfire activity in the Pacific Northwest

Ellie Graeden – Utilizing Automated Fire Growth Models To Support Private Industry

Maria Uriarte – Rural development and fires in the Peruvian Amazon

Ruth Defries – Human causes and consequences of fire

Derek Mallia – Innovative approaches for modeling smoke impacts from prescribed burns and wildfires

Charles Ichoku – Understanding Present-Day North American Fires from Satellite Observations to Enhance Predictability

Rebecca Buchholz – Predicting atmospheric carbon monoxide over fire regions using climate indices

Rizaldi Boer – Fire Risk Information System for Managing Land and Forest Fire in Indonesia

Stjin Hantson – The Status of Global Fire Modeling- Results from the Fire Model Intercomparison Project (FireMIP).

Gitta Lasslop – The impact of fire on vegetation- model intercomparison of impacts in eight global process-based models and a statistical model

Niels Andela – Predicting human-driven changes in global fire activity

Stephane Mangeon – Addressing the Fuel Consumption biases in Global Fire Models

Matthias Boer – A hydroclimatic model of global fire patterns

Dominique Bachelet – The challenges of modeling fire- climate and CO2 effects can be simulated but human behavior and decisions are unpredictable. FireMIP will help give directions toward progress.

Poster Presentations

Akli Benali – How can satellite data improve our knowledge on large wildfires?

Alireza Farahmand – Using NASA Satellite Observations to Map Wildfire Risk in the United States for Allocation of Fire Management Resources

Douglas Morton – Seasonal to sub-seasonal predictions of understory fire risk in Amazon forests

Ellie Graeden – Planning for Growth in High Wildfire Risk Zones- A Risk Accumulation Model for the Homeowners Insurance Market

Emily Fusco – Modeling Detection Biases in Remotely Sensed and Agency Reported Fires in the U.S. 2003-2013

Erin Hanan – Using remote sensing to account for disturbance history in process-based, carbon cycling models

Fengjun Zhao – Shift of fire season from spring to summer in northeastern China under global warming

Hety Herawati – Tools for Assessing the Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on Wildfire Regimes in Forests

Israr Albar – Fire Prediction and Management in Sumatra, Indonesia during the 2015 El-Nino

Jan Mandel – Coupled fire-atmosphere-fuel moisture online modeling system WRF-SFIRE

Jen Beverly – Probability of ignition in Jack and lodgepole pine stands – implications for fuel Management

Jiajue Chai – Tracking nitrogen oxides, nitrous acid, and nitric acid from biomass burning

John Abatzoglou – Global Patterns of Interannual Fire-Climate Relationships

Jonathan Nichols – Climate, Fire, and Vegetation Control on Peat Carbon Accumulation in Borneo

Keren Mezuman – PyrE, an interactive fire module within the NASA-GISS Earth System Model

Kyu-Myong Kim – Seasonal-to-interannual variation in biomass burning over the contiguous United States

Lesley Ott – Chemical weather forecasting of smoke events- lessons on predictability from NASA’s GEOS modeling system

Marcus Vinicius Athaydes Liesenfeld – Underground Stem- A Postfire Resprouting Advantage for Palms in Amazon Forest

Mark Parrington – Estimating and predicting fire emissions for operational forecasts of global atmospheric composition in the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service

Matthias Boer – Early warning system for unseasonal forest flammability

Melanie Follette-Cook – Predictive Fire Emissions in the NASA GEOS-5 Earth System Model

Muhammad Ali Imron – PeatFire- An Agent-based model for peat fire prediction in a protected area of South Sumatra Indonesia under weather uncertainties

Nicholas McCarthy – Predicting pyroconvection- a challenge for fire management as well as fire research

Nicholas Nauslar – An Impact-Based Decision Support Paradigm for National Weather Service Wildfire Forecast and Warning Services

Paulo Artaxo – Increasing deforestation in Amazonia and its effects on the forest carbon dynamics

Piyush Jain – The relationship between the polar jet stream and fire spread days in Alberta, Canada

Sandra Oliveira – The social context of fire-affected areas. A first assessment regarding the extreme fire events in central Portugal (June 2017)

Scott Rabenhorst – Modeling Pyrocumulonimbus Blowups and Cloud-Aerosol Interactions

Simin Rahmani – Predicting the pollution level from smoke plumes

Steve Taylor – Wildfire Management Decision Making – Fast and Slow- A systems framework for wildfire management research

Taylor McCorkle – Communicating Fire Weather Risks at Short Lead Times using the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Forecast Modeling System

Xiaohua Pan – Investigation of Indonesian fires during 1979-2016- connection with the type of El Niño and phase of Indian Ocean Dipole

Zhihua Liu – Global biophysical effects of forest fire differ by region