Preliminary Program

Workshop on Atlantic Climate Variability – Dynamics, Prediction and Hurricane Risk

September 8, 2017

AM Session will be chaired by Chia-Ying Lee

9:00AM – 9:15 AM Adam Sobel – Welcome

9:15 AM – 9:30AM Peter Zimmerli – Introduction and goals of the workshop

9:30AM – 10:00AM Rong Zhang – The Atlantic Multidecadal Variability: Mechanism, Predictability, and the Associated Impact on Hurricane Activity

Zhang Presentation

10:00AM – 10:30AM Mark Cane – The AMO is Radiatively Forced

Cane Presentation

10:30AM – 11:00 AM Christina Patricola, Oceanic and Atmospheric Sources of Tropical Cyclone Predictability

Patricola Presentation

11:00AM – 11:15AM Coffee Break

11:15AM – 11:45AM Timothy DelSole – The Role of Ocean Dynamics in Multi-Year Predictability

11:45AM – 12:15PM Martha Buckley- Predictability of North Atlantic Ocean Heat Content

Buckley Presentation

12:15PM – 1:00PM Panel discussion moderated by Suzana Camargo


1:00PM – 2:00PM Lunch


PM Session will be chaired by Marla Schwartz

2:00PM – 2:30PM Mingfang Ting – Distinguishing Forced and Internal Multi-Decadal Variability in the North Atlantic and their Climate Impacts

Ting Presentation

2:30PM – 3:00PM Kerry Emanuel – On the Causes of the Late 20th Century North Atlantic Hurricane Drought

Emanuel Presentation

3:00PM – 3:15PM Coffee Break

3:15PM – 3:45PM Gabriel Vecchi, Mechanisms and Predictability of Seasonal to Decadal Atlantic Hurricane Variations

3:45PM – 4:15 PM James Kossin – Patterns of Atlantic Decadal Variability and Hurricane Intensity Change Along the U.S. Coast

Kossin Presentation

4:15PM – 5:00PM Panel Discussion moderated by Adam Sobel