Abstracts
Oral Presentations
Matt Butler – A fire manager’s perspective on fire season potential based on climate, weather, and fire behavior predictions
Ed Delgado – Challenges Facing Wildland Fire Forecasters
Haiganoush Preisler – Statistical Predictions of Fire Occurrence and Spread
George Milne – High Performance Wildfire Prediction Technology use in Western Australia
Karin Riley – Fire prediction and uncertainty across temporal and spatial scales
Mark Finney – Physical Process in Wildland Fire Spread at Fine Scales
Rodman Linn – Using Coupled Wildfire:Atmosphere Models to Further to Expand our Understanding of Wildfire Behavior
Ali Tohidi – Firebrand formation and transport, a critical mechanism of wildfire propagation
Nicholas Nauslar – Improving Lightning and Dry Lightning Guidance with Calibrated Probabilities from Regional and Convection Allowing Ensemble Model Output
Michael Gollner – Data-Driven Fire Modeling
James Randerson – Advances in global fire prediction on daily to decadal timescales
Jiajue Chai – Tracking nitrogen oxides, nitrous acid, and nitric acid from biomass burning
Francesca DiGiuseppe – From Weather to Fire- from Fire to Weather
Andrew Robertson – Current developments in sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasting Break
David Caballero – Fire risk assessment across spatial scales in the WUI. Some examples of practical application in Europe
Ross Bradstock – A probabilistic model to predict property loss from fires at fine temporal and spatial scales
Adam Kochanski – An analysis of socio-economic impact of fire modeling and fire detection data
David Bowman – The role of pyrogeographic synthesis in the attribution of climate change to ‘unprecedented’ fire regimes- the case of the 2016 Tasmanian wilderness fires
Katherine Glover – Vegetation and Fire in the San Bernardino Mountains, Southern California since 120,000 years BP- Insights and Challenges for 21st century predictions
Jed Kaplan – Fire and land cover change during the Maori colonization of New Zealand- Hypothesis testing with model simulations and charcoal data
Rachel Loehman – Modeling Ecological Resilience and Human-Environment Interactions in Engineered Landscapes of the Prehistoric American Southwest
Jennifer Marlon – Understanding fire activity outside the range of modern environmental conditions
Leroy Westerling – Simulation of extreme wildfire events across spatial scales for California’s Fourth Climate Assessment and the USDA Forest Service’s Sierra Nevada Forest Management Plan revisions
Trent Penman – Non-linear changes to future fire in forests and grasslands
Steve Taylor – Predicting Severe Wildfire Occurrence in Canada
Nathan Mietkiewicz – Drivers of historic and future wildfire occurrence across the United States- the relative contribution of human ignitions vs. climate to fire size and probability
Winslow Hansen – A perfect storm- multiple stressors interact to drive postfire regeneration failure of lodgepole pine and Douglas-fir forests in Yellowstone
Jacquelyn Shuman – FATES-SPITFIRE- Fire within a size-structured vegetation model
Cristina Montiel-Molina – Fire scenarios in the Central Mountains Range (Spain)- a multi-scale concept for integrated fire management in the context of global change
Ryan Bart – Development of a coupled model for investigating the effects of forest management and climate on wildfire regimes in the western U.S.
Erin Hanan – Effects of fire suppression and climate change on wildfire activity in the Pacific Northwest
Ellie Graeden – Utilizing Automated Fire Growth Models To Support Private Industry
Maria Uriarte – Rural development and fires in the Peruvian Amazon
Ruth Defries – Human causes and consequences of fire
Derek Mallia – Innovative approaches for modeling smoke impacts from prescribed burns and wildfires
Charles Ichoku – Understanding Present-Day North American Fires from Satellite Observations to Enhance Predictability
Rebecca Buchholz – Predicting atmospheric carbon monoxide over fire regions using climate indices
Rizaldi Boer – Fire Risk Information System for Managing Land and Forest Fire in Indonesia
Stjin Hantson – The Status of Global Fire Modeling- Results from the Fire Model Intercomparison Project (FireMIP).
Gitta Lasslop – The impact of fire on vegetation- model intercomparison of impacts in eight global process-based models and a statistical model
Niels Andela – Predicting human-driven changes in global fire activity
Stephane Mangeon – Addressing the Fuel Consumption biases in Global Fire Models
Matthias Boer – A hydroclimatic model of global fire patterns
Dominique Bachelet – The challenges of modeling fire- climate and CO2 effects can be simulated but human behavior and decisions are unpredictable. FireMIP will help give directions toward progress.
Poster Presentations
Akli Benali – How can satellite data improve our knowledge on large wildfires?
Alireza Farahmand – Using NASA Satellite Observations to Map Wildfire Risk in the United States for Allocation of Fire Management Resources
Douglas Morton – Seasonal to sub-seasonal predictions of understory fire risk in Amazon forests
Ellie Graeden – Planning for Growth in High Wildfire Risk Zones- A Risk Accumulation Model for the Homeowners Insurance Market
Emily Fusco – Modeling Detection Biases in Remotely Sensed and Agency Reported Fires in the U.S. 2003-2013
Erin Hanan – Using remote sensing to account for disturbance history in process-based, carbon cycling models
Fengjun Zhao – Shift of fire season from spring to summer in northeastern China under global warming
Hety Herawati – Tools for Assessing the Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on Wildfire Regimes in Forests
Israr Albar – Fire Prediction and Management in Sumatra, Indonesia during the 2015 El-Nino
Jan Mandel – Coupled fire-atmosphere-fuel moisture online modeling system WRF-SFIRE
Jen Beverly – Probability of ignition in Jack and lodgepole pine stands – implications for fuel Management
Jiajue Chai – Tracking nitrogen oxides, nitrous acid, and nitric acid from biomass burning
John Abatzoglou – Global Patterns of Interannual Fire-Climate Relationships
Jonathan Nichols – Climate, Fire, and Vegetation Control on Peat Carbon Accumulation in Borneo
Keren Mezuman – PyrE, an interactive fire module within the NASA-GISS Earth System Model
Kyu-Myong Kim – Seasonal-to-interannual variation in biomass burning over the contiguous United States
Lesley Ott – Chemical weather forecasting of smoke events- lessons on predictability from NASA’s GEOS modeling system
Marcus Vinicius Athaydes Liesenfeld – Underground Stem- A Postfire Resprouting Advantage for Palms in Amazon Forest
Mark Parrington – Estimating and predicting fire emissions for operational forecasts of global atmospheric composition in the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service
Matthias Boer – Early warning system for unseasonal forest flammability
Melanie Follette-Cook – Predictive Fire Emissions in the NASA GEOS-5 Earth System Model
Muhammad Ali Imron – PeatFire- An Agent-based model for peat fire prediction in a protected area of South Sumatra Indonesia under weather uncertainties
Nicholas McCarthy – Predicting pyroconvection- a challenge for fire management as well as fire research
Nicholas Nauslar – An Impact-Based Decision Support Paradigm for National Weather Service Wildfire Forecast and Warning Services
Paulo Artaxo – Increasing deforestation in Amazonia and its effects on the forest carbon dynamics
Piyush Jain – The relationship between the polar jet stream and fire spread days in Alberta, Canada
Sandra Oliveira – The social context of fire-affected areas. A first assessment regarding the extreme fire events in central Portugal (June 2017)
Scott Rabenhorst – Modeling Pyrocumulonimbus Blowups and Cloud-Aerosol Interactions
Simin Rahmani – Predicting the pollution level from smoke plumes
Steve Taylor – Wildfire Management Decision Making – Fast and Slow- A systems framework for wildfire management research
Taylor McCorkle – Communicating Fire Weather Risks at Short Lead Times using the High-Resolution Rapid Refresh Forecast Modeling System
Xiaohua Pan – Investigation of Indonesian fires during 1979-2016- connection with the type of El Niño and phase of Indian Ocean Dipole
Zhihua Liu – Global biophysical effects of forest fire differ by region
